Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 1.882994 2.147998 2.438961 2.782458 3.177332 3.617569 4.146318
2025-09-28 1.446315 1.779852 2.176121 2.682885 3.315592 4.081886 5.084032
2025-10-05 1.247621 1.637181 2.132108 2.809947 3.718794 4.901763 6.568897
2025-10-12 1.105524 1.533618 2.110100 2.948404 4.145194 5.805619 8.307137
2025-10-19 0.973409 1.417399 2.046513 3.010912 4.466362 6.603724 10.022389
2025-10-26 0.866577 1.317498 1.986147 3.060879 4.766231 7.403089 11.857613
2025-11-02 0.750178 1.184764 1.855600 2.980182 4.846252 7.868084 13.230790
2025-11-09 0.640555 1.046535 1.696106 2.826933 4.780520 8.079146 14.201380
2025-11-16 0.574330 0.969049 1.622533 2.801954 4.919768 8.642579 15.858303
2025-11-23 0.513260 0.892058 1.539238 2.746933 4.994778 9.097299 17.378651
2025-11-30 0.490586 0.878322 1.562011 2.881436 5.427902 10.255659 20.412511
2025-12-07 0.460089 0.846594 1.548304 2.945413 5.734421 11.213430 23.196889
2025-12-14 0.420822 0.795344 1.495006 2.931379 5.895781 11.927756 25.639316
2025-12-21 0.374298 0.725046 1.397775 2.818535 5.842593 12.200563 27.183271
2025-12-28 0.360149 0.716240 1.418747 2.948229 6.313752 13.644331 31.607915
2026-01-04 0.348243 0.710433 1.444777 3.091620 6.834920 15.275670 36.770817
2026-01-11 0.329652 0.688603 1.435117 3.156134 7.188632 16.581937 41.385948
2026-01-18 0.311642 0.665890 1.420799 3.208013 7.520049 17.885390 46.236964
2026-01-25 0.284319 0.619910 1.350818 3.122905 7.512480 18.367610 49.019921
2026-02-01 0.254203 0.564503 1.253839 2.961766 7.295293 18.293486 50.271645
2026-02-08 0.236738 0.535968 1.214729 2.935449 7.414014 19.097911 54.145637
2026-02-15 0.218797 0.504462 1.165370 2.877623 7.443253 19.671104 57.459833
2026-02-22 0.214857 0.505588 1.193258 3.018865 8.021182 21.821705 65.935288